Trump and Iran are playing a game of chicken; neither wants war, but each believes the other will blink.
Browsing: Iran
Trump is being dragged into a war with Iran, much like Putin was into Ukraine: emboldened by a perceived victory and ignoring military warnings.
Two Iran-aligned Iraqi factions are openly recruiting for war, alarming the Iraqi government; the factions “listen to no one.”
Gulf air defenses are layered, but their resilience against a large-scale Iranian missile attack is untested and vulnerable to saturation.
Despite 50 years of U.S. sanctions, Iran has achieved 90% literacy, indigenous missiles, and independent satellite launch capability.
Trump’s war on Iran will fail because its demands are designed for rejection; airstrikes cannot erase knowledge or end missile programs.
Iran’s regime faces existential crises: economic collapse, regional losses, and the absence of a pivotal figure to manage transition.
Iraq’s election is quiet, but the next prime minister faces monumental challenges: water, U.S. demands, and U.S.-Iran entanglement.
Ramadan complicates any U.S. strike on Iran; attacking during the holiest month risks galvanizing Tehran’s proxies and alienating Muslim opinion.
Trump’s push for war with Iran is driven not by strategy, but by political survival—a desperate attempt to silence critics.