Leaked recordings suggest former Assad officers in Lebanon are discussing plans to destabilize Syria, straining Syrian-Lebanese relations.
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The Assad regime collapsed because it was brittle—a hollowed-out state propped up by dwindling foreign support and criminal networks.
Iraq must balance its hard-earned stability against renewed ISIS threats and Iranian pressure. As Washington considers its 2026 withdrawal timeline, Baghdad seeks a transition to a bilateral security framework that preserves sovereignty, strengthens national institutions, and reduces economic dependence on Tehran’s energy exports.
The current uprising is distinguished by widespread geography, diverse demographics, and the weakening of Iran’s “Axis of Resistance.” While regional powers fear instability, the potential for U.S. intervention and a looming succession crisis make the regime’s survival more uncertain than in previous years.