Iran’s ethnic divisions risk violent fragmentation if the regime falls, challenging U.S. assumptions of a stable, centralized successor state.
Browsing: Azerbaijan
The Trump-mediated deal hinges on Armenia amending its constitution—a risky referendum slated for 2027. With Russia undermining the process and Azerbaijan’s patience waning, sustained Western support is needed to lock in peace and counter Moscow’s spoiler tactics.
Azerbaijan watches Iran’s protests cautiously, allowing nationalist talk of “reunification” but avoiding official support to prevent instability, economic fallout, and strained ties with Tehran.