North Africa faces relative security but underlying fragility, with a deepening security vortex linking Libya, the Sahel, and Sudan.
Browsing: Fragility
Syrian tribes have shifted loyalties opportunistically—from ISIS to the SDF and now toward Damascus—exposing the fragility of alliance-building.
Iraq’s apparent calm before elections masks enduring fragility; real stability depends on codifying rules for oil, budgets, and militias afterward.
The arrangement, involving swapped fuel and unpaid debt, bypassed institutional oversight, sustaining both governments without reform. This pattern of personalized, elite-driven cooperation mirrors their sectarian power-sharing systems and deepens mutual vulnerability.