Intra-Kurdish rivalry over the Iraqi presidency threatens to stall government formation, complicating Sudani’s bid for a second term.
Browsing: Government
A weakened Hezbollah and a new Lebanese government create a fragile opening for change, but the risk of renewed war remains high.
Despite security reforms and bureaucratic rebuilding, public trust remains fragile. Success now hinges on delivering economic improvement, drafting an inclusive constitution, and fostering local reconciliation to address deep societal fractures and consolidate the post-Assad state.
The crisis stems from unsustainable demand, prolonged drought, and chronic mismanagement. Necessary reforms—like raising prices or cutting subsidies—would undercut the regime’s political economy and could trigger unrest, leaving the government with few palatable options to keep Tehran habitable.