Iran faces a decisive turning point: internal collapse converges with external pressure, and its great power allies have proved hollow.
Browsing: Pressure
Muscat talks reopened diplomacy but achieved no breakthrough, leaving a narrow window before the risk of escalation returns.
With Iran’s regime cornered by protests, Hezbollah fears its survival is at stake. Beirut has stalled disarmament, but U.S. pressure can compel the Lebanese Army to move north of the Litani River now, before the narrow window of opportunity closes.
U.S. strikes would risk escalation without toppling Iran’s entrenched regime. Washington should instead intensify non-kinetic pressure: targeting IRGC systems, seizing oil shipments, isolating Tehran diplomatically, and investing in opposition capacity to foster a durable democratic transition.