Kazakhstan joins the Abraham Accords to build new critical mineral supply chains with US partners, reducing reliance on China.
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A new Iraqi law risks permanently embedding Iran-backed militias into the state, demanding urgent U.S. diplomatic intervention to prevent its passage.
Iraq seeks to maintain U.S. military and financial support, fearing a full American withdrawal that would empower Iran and threaten stability.
U.S. envoys should use the threat of military strikes to press Iran for nuclear, missile, and human rights concessions.
Syria remains a key front in the U.S.-Russia rivalry; preventing its fragmentation is essential to blocking Moscow’s path back to regional influence.
Iran’s ethnic divisions risk violent fragmentation if the regime falls, challenging U.S. assumptions of a stable, centralized successor state.
China used economic ties and support for Iran to exploit post-Arab Spring instability, turning the region into a key front in US‑China competition.
Iran’s control of oil chokepoints and sanction-evading networks make military intervention a high-risk, unpredictable option.
U.S. demands for Hezbollah’s disarmament fracture Lebanon’s government and risk civil war.
U.S. ambiguity on the PMF risks Iraqi stability and elections, demanding clearer support for sovereignty.