The Gaza ceasefire hasn’t ended the Israel-Houthi war; both sides remain poised for conflict, complicating Yemen’s fragile peace process.
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Israeli-Houthi strikes escalate as Israel targets the Yemeni government and Houthis expand maritime attacks, threatening regional shipping and stability.
A new airstrip on Zuqar Island provides surveillance and interdiction capabilities against Houthi smuggling routes. The UAE-backed National Resistance Forces use such bases to project power and intercept Iranian weapons, complicating Tehran’s support network for the Houthis.
The struggle reflects broader proxy competition, as Riyadh aims to block arms smuggling to the Houthis and curb Emirati influence, while Muscat fears Salafi expansion. Local tensions are managed through tribal codes but risk escalating without direct Saudi-Omani dialogue.
Impunity is institutionalized, as political and armed groups weaponize the judiciary to detain and intimidate reporters. This systematic obstruction of justice protects perpetrators, erodes constitutional rights, and makes independent journalism a lethal profession in Yemen’s fractured conflict.
The debate centers on whether satellite internet is a tool for liberation or foreign surveillance. Its introduction risks deepening the conflict by becoming another weaponized asset, further entrenching divisions and external influence in Yemen’s fragmented war.
The crisis results from the weaponization of water, unsustainable agriculture, and shattered governance. Addressing it requires rebuilding infrastructure, regulating extraction, and integrating water security into any peace process to prevent scarcity from perpetuating conflict.
“The United States’ current approach is not working and may even play into Ansar Allah’s, and by extension Iran’s, hands. A better alternative is a multidimensional long-term security strategy that ties maritime security to the Yemeni peace process… acting accordingly.”
“The success of the Houthis, who have paralyzed about 12 percent of international trade, distracting the West, suits the Russian side just fine. Moscow is not prepared to risk its remaining allies for the sake of international stability.”
“The STC’s recent takeover of Hadhramawt and Mahra… exposes new fault lines in Saudi-Emirati relations, crosses the red lines of Yemen’s neighbors, and threatens to shatter the Presidential Leadership Council… a qualitative shift far from representing a decisive endgame.”