An in-depth analysis of why high-level Iranian Defectors have not yet materialized in large numbers during the ongoing military conflict.
Browsing: Regime
Iran’s regime survives. Trump talks oil money, not liberation. Iranian hopes of overthrow betrayed by a war of attrition.
Israel’s strategic debate shifts toward regime change in Iran as the only durable answer to nuclear and regional threats.
Regime survives. Trump has no good options. Iranians lose most. Hardliners ascend. Netanyahu undermines diplomacy. The bill comes due.
Regime survives but faces long-term crisis. US can strike fast but cannot sustain. Gulf diversifies. Markets follow the strait.
Zolghadr’s appointment signals regime consolidation around coercive power. Any negotiations will be filtered through IRGC’s inner circle.
Why regime hasn’t collapsed: IRGC consolidated, population cowed, asymmetric endurance. System built to survive.
Iranians await regime fall: see bombings as only way out. Fear war ending without change.
Instead of regime change, aim for regime weakening—enfeebling Iran so public can overwhelm it.
Air control ≠ regime change. Iran’s ground forces, militias intact. Collapse requires internal fracture, not bombs.