U.S. foreign policy has shifted from rules to raw power—coercion, conditional alliances, and strategic intimidation—testing global order.
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Indonesia’s U.S. trade deal includes a sanctions clause that could strain its independent foreign policy and Middle East partnerships.
Gulf states fear both Iranian retaliation and regime collapse; they prefer a weakened, restrained Iran to the chaos of a rapid fall.
Iraq’s government formation is deadlocked over Maliki’s candidacy, opposed by Washington and key factions; three scenarios are debated.
Oman hosted indirect U.S.-Iran talks on a nuclear framework; a deal remains uncertain as both sides hold firm on red lines.
Ten predictions on U.S.-Iran: limited strikes likely; protests may erupt; escalation possible; peaceful resolution window closing.
The 2026 U.S. defense budget signals a shift from military presence to industrial production, driven by competition with China.
Israel is the main source of instability in the Middle East; the U.S. must fundamentally reappraise its relationship with Israel.
Al-Sharaa’s Washington visit marks a historic shift: Syria now aligns with the U.S., not using Israel as a regime protector.
The U.S. plans to complete its military withdrawal from Iraq by September 2026, with NATO advisers likely leaving at the same time.