Iran’s war strategy: don’t calibrate—escalate. Horizontal, vertical expansion. No off-ramps in sight.
Browsing: Scenarios
Gulf fears Israel’s “day after”: chaos preferred by Israel, stability impossible for GCC.
Houthis weigh Iran war: three scenarios risk reigniting Yemen war, deepening humanitarian catastrophe.
Four Iran scenarios: regime change, modification, ceasefire, collapse. Prescription: seize Kharg, destroy nukes.
Four succession scenarios loom: clerical rule, leadership flight, military junta, or uprising—each with distinct risks.
If Trump strikes Iran, oil disruption scenarios range from reversible shipping interruptions to catastrophic facility destruction.
Trump’s war on Iran has three possible ends: regime collapse, Iranian retaliation outlasting U.S. will, or a return to the deal.
Iran faces a historic leadership transition as Khamenei ages. Three scenarios loom—clerical continuity, military rule, or collapse—none promising democracy.
Iraq’s government formation is deadlocked over Maliki’s candidacy, opposed by Washington and key factions; three scenarios are debated.