“Can Iran raise the cost without losing its neighborhood? And can it pressure Washington through the Gulf without turning itself into the main enemy in the eyes of the region?”
Browsing: Strategy
Incoherent Iran war justifications reveal administration’s delight in violence while abandoning American traditions of moral purpose and strategic restraint.
How Iran sees war: opportunity, not just hazard. Fighting from below, mobilizing supporters, consolidating power.
US-Israel risk strategic failure: dazzling military success but Iran survives, preserves capabilities.
Energy diplomacy central to Iran war: Hormuz leveraged, Gulf infrastructure targeted, Arab states restrain.
Five fundamental questions: end state, regional strategy, priority, global shifts, domestic capital. Maximum uncertainty.
Why US Middle East bases are disadvantage: they create threat, not counter it. Time to retrench.
Trump’s Iran coalition mistake: built alliance after strikes. WWI, Gulf War lessons: coalitions before hostilities.
US-Israel strategy failing: incompatible aims, no victory definition. Iran only needs to survive to prevail.
Israel debates new Lebanon strategy: withdrawal doctrine failed, large-scale ground operation favored.