Energy diplomacy central to Iran war: Hormuz leveraged, Gulf infrastructure targeted, Arab states restrain.
Browsing: Strategy
Five fundamental questions: end state, regional strategy, priority, global shifts, domestic capital. Maximum uncertainty.
Why US Middle East bases are disadvantage: they create threat, not counter it. Time to retrench.
Trump’s Iran coalition mistake: built alliance after strikes. WWI, Gulf War lessons: coalitions before hostilities.
US-Israel strategy failing: incompatible aims, no victory definition. Iran only needs to survive to prevail.
Israel debates new Lebanon strategy: withdrawal doctrine failed, large-scale ground operation favored.
Six strategic risks: coalition divergence, rattled alliances, rival opportunism, expanding conflict, economic shock, unpopularity.
Israel’s forever wars: strategy shifted from deterrence to dominance/degradation. War now the arrangement itself.
The oil logic behind Trump’s war: Kharg Island strike spared infrastructure—keep oil moving.
How America’s war on Iran backfired: Khamenei’s martyrdom gift to regime, no good ending.