Browsing: Yoel Guzansky

Iran kept its leverage. The US guarantee frayed. Gulf states hedge: rearm, diversify, and talk to Tehran.

Gulf states persist with cautious hedging amid Iranian attacks, prioritizing post-war security framework over open military alliance with US-Israel.

Saudi Arabia’s shift on Israel is stark: 99% of Saudis now oppose normalization, and a Palestinian state is a non-negotiable condition.

Gulf states fear both Iranian retaliation and regime collapse; they prefer a weakened, restrained Iran to the chaos of a rapid fall.

The Saudi-UAE rivalry complicates Israeli normalization, as Riyadh sees Israel aligned with Abu Dhabi, distancing potential rapprochement.