US blockade on Iran begins. Coercive economic warfare replaces diplomacy as nuclear and missile gaps prove unbridgeable.
Browsing: Can Kasapoğlu
“Iran is no longer signaling restraint. It is signaling reach, and doing so under live warfighting conditions.”
“If your head and your heart is not in it when you go to war, it’s going to be a lot more difficult to accomplish your objectives.”
Iran escalates energy war to water vulnerability, targeting Gulf desalination plants that sustain 90 percent of regional drinking water.
Toward a theory of victory: focus on IRGC as center of gravity. Need political warfare, defection pathways.
Operation Epic Fury: US struck 5,000+ targets, Iran’s tempo declined. Water infrastructure targeted. NATO dimension.
Operation Epic Fury degrades Iran’s military capacity, forcing a strike decline while the regime struggles amid this intensifying regional conflict.
Iran faces three simultaneous regime changes: biological decay, an IRGC dictatorship, and a shattered social contract.
Despite heavy losses, Iran is rebuilding its missile arsenal and pursuing ICBM capability with foreign support.