Lebanon’s interest lies in disengaging from Gaza and prioritizing its own sovereignty and reconstruction over illusions of strength.
Browsing: Hezbollah
U.S. pressure to disarm Hezbollah risks plunging Lebanon into sectarian violence, with Shiite support for the group at over 95%.
Only Iran can disarm Hezbollah; any U.S.-Iran deal must require it, or Israel will escalate militarily.
Since Assad’s fall, Syria has cracked down on weapons smuggling to Hezbollah, but the threat is contained, not eliminated.
Nasrallah’s killing, after Israel decimated Hezbollah’s command, cripples the group and restores Israeli deterrence.
Lebanon’s ceasefire with Israel is fraying as Beirut balks at fully disarming Hezbollah, making renewed conflict likely.
Lebanon’s reform government falters on Hezbollah disarmament, reconstruction, and economic recovery one year on.
UNIFIL’s role in disarming Hezbollah is debated as ineffective by Israel, essential by Lebanon.
Lebanon’s vague Hezbollah disarmament plan needs a firm U.S.-enforced deadline.
A weakened Hezbollah and a new Lebanese government create a fragile opening for change, but the risk of renewed war remains high.