Why regime hasn’t collapsed: IRGC consolidated, population cowed, asymmetric endurance. System built to survive.
Browsing: Regime
Iranians await regime fall: see bombings as only way out. Fear war ending without change.
Instead of regime change, aim for regime weakening—enfeebling Iran so public can overwhelm it.
Air control ≠ regime change. Iran’s ground forces, militias intact. Collapse requires internal fracture, not bombs.
Iran war could topple regime or trigger disintegration, $150 oil, and empower Netanyahu’s annexation agenda.
Past protests failed without leadership or organization, and surviving IRGC must back any opposition movement to succeed.
Irans institutional resilience prevented collapse after Khamenei’s death,triggering elite consolidation and security-centric succession under wartime conditions
Trump says Iran’s navy and air force are gone, but regime change by air alone is “extremely difficult.”
The U.S. is at war without clear aims; a weaker Iran could be worse, and history warns of messy outcomes.
U.S.-Israel strikes decapitated Iran’s leadership, but regime change from the air alone is a fantasy.