The agreement requires monthly renewals and expires in December 2025, reflecting deep political distrust. While providing short-term fiscal relief, its long-term viability is threatened by electoral politics, budget disputes, and the need for a new pipeline treaty with Turkey by 2026.
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Al-Sudani is using major oil deals with U.S. firms as a shield against potential sanctions and a tool to lobby Washington. His administrative effectiveness has fast-tracked deals, but his political survival post-election is uncertain, risking a return to bureaucratic gridlock.
Friedman sees parallels between Trump’s divisive immigration tactics in Minneapolis and Netanyahu’s strategy in Gaza. He warns both leaders endanger democracy by fueling conflict to win elections, rather than uniting their nations.