The U.S. must view Iran through a Southwest Asian lens to manage nuclear proliferation and counter Chinese regional influence.
Browsing: Proliferation
The Iran conflict suggests conventional forces cannot prevent attacks, prompting allies to doubt U.S. protection and seek independent deterrents.
Iran paid the price for something it did not possess. The NPT’s “grand bargain” is undermined. Proliferation risks grow.
Regime change in Iran would not bring liberation—it would set the region ablaze, as Iraq, Libya, and Syria show.
Despite heavy losses, Iran is rebuilding its missile arsenal and pursuing ICBM capability with foreign support.
The strikes have severely damaged Iran’s nuclear program, but the long-term effects remain uncertain. Analysts debate whether this will spur nuclear proliferation or deter it, while examining the muted response from Iran’s supposed allies like China and Russia.