The convergence of China’s military centenary, Taiwan’s election cycle, and shifting naval power dynamics marks 2027 as a high-risk window for global geopolitical destabilization.
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The U.S. military is not yet ready, integrated, or agile enough for a high-end Pacific conflict with China.
An analysis of how escalating purges within the CCP’s military wing could reveal vulnerabilities for U.S. foreign policy and deterrence.
Russia uses gold and Chinese networks to bypass Western sanctions and sustain its war economy.
Iraq’s nuclear deals with Russia and China, led by a militia-linked minister, raise proliferation risks and threaten U.S. relations.
Kazakhstan joins the Abraham Accords to build new critical mineral supply chains with US partners, reducing reliance on China.
China used economic ties and support for Iran to exploit post-Arab Spring instability, turning the region into a key front in US‑China competition.
A competitor seeks to outperform you; an adversary seeks to destroy you. This is a contest over whether free societies remain free.
China values Iran for oil and anti‑U.S. alignment but offers no security guarantees, prioritizing its own stability above Tehran’s regime.
Chinese firms dominate Iraq’s upstream sector by accepting low-profit terms, while state-backed financing secures critical infrastructure deals. Baghdad also seeks Western investment for technical expertise and to mitigate U.S. sanctions risk, maintaining a dual-track strategy to balance energy partners.