Maliki’s comeback risks U.S. withdrawal, regional isolation, and renewed sectarian strife in Iraq.
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Striking Iran would trigger an unconstrained, region-wide war, unlike Trump’s Venezuela model.
Lebanon’s vague Hezbollah disarmament plan needs a firm U.S.-enforced deadline.
Syria and Lebanon could join the Abraham Accords in a fragile moment, balancing military escalation with unprecedented US-mediated diplomacy.
Syria’s offensive against Kurdish forces triggers a fragile deal, raising risks of ISIS resurgence and shifting regional power dynamics.
U.S. policy must prevent Syria’s fragmentation to diminish Russia’s strategic influence and stabilize the region as a neutral buffer.
Iraq’s next prime minister, a constrained Shia bloc appointee, must bridge a public-elite gap and manage militias to secure progress.
Turkey’s evolving policy on freedom of religion, reflecting its Anatolian identity, drives its multi-aligned foreign policy and redefines its partnership with the U.S.
Reopening the Iraq-Turkey oil pipeline strengthens trilateral ties, diversifies energy supplies, and creates a counterweight to Iran’s regional influence.
U.S. must leverage post-war militia restraint to roll back Iranian influence in Iraq, focusing on airspace control and economic sectors.