ISIS is beaten and attacks are below fifty, but the conditions that produced it remain latent; Iranian expansion, not US retreat, could reactivate them.
Browsing: James Jeffrey
Washington’s influence may fade after Israel’s vote, but the Turkey rivalry and Iran threat will not quietly wait.
A revised MOU could achieve U.S. goals without forcing Iranian surrender, but Trump must first reassure skeptical Gulf partners.
The Iran War underscores the dominance of hydrocarbons and the structural challenges facing modern militaries in adapting to rapid, low-cost technological innovation.
The Iran War is testing the limits of modern military adaptation and the global collective security system, with outcomes ranging from regime collapse to a “disguised defeat” for the West.
Middle East’s “1919 moment”: victorious alliance must manage differences to avoid post-WWI unraveling.
Alternative security models for Syria amid US pullout: anti-IS coalition, embassy OSC. Baghdad model instructive.
Syria’s unification hinges on integrating the Kurdish-led SDF without renewed violence, granting cultural rights and managing Turkish-Israeli tensions.
Syria’s offensive against Kurdish forces triggers a fragile deal, raising risks of ISIS resurgence and shifting regional power dynamics.
The U.S. must decide its future role in Iraq post-combat mission, balancing withdrawal against threats from ISIS and Iranian proxies.