Iraq remains caught in a reactive cycle, struggling to balance relations between Washington and Tehran. Despite ambitious infrastructure projects, the state’s lack of control over armed factions prevents it from evolving from a regional battlefield into a stable, sovereign economic hub.
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The current uprising is distinguished by widespread geography, diverse demographics, and the weakening of Iran’s “Axis of Resistance.” While regional powers fear instability, the potential for U.S. intervention and a looming succession crisis make the regime’s survival more uncertain than in previous years.
The collapse of the SDF’s presence in Aleppo follows failed integration talks and violent clashes. While Damascus promises cultural rights, the dismantling of Kurdish military units weakens their bargaining power, signaling a move toward a more centralized Syrian state under the current administration.
Turkey’s inclusion in Gaza’s reconstruction and transnational energy projects like the East Mediterranean Gas Forum is vital. This pragmatic engagement prevents regional fragmentation, discourages Ankara’s alignment with competing blocs, and transforms the Abraham Accords into a comprehensive, multilateral framework for lasting Middle Eastern integration.