Turkey bets on Iran war to become energy hub, arms exporter, and Istanbul as Dubai’s rival.
Browsing: Geopolitics
Battlefield blows against Hezbollah open a rare diplomatic window for Israeli-Lebanese peace.
Iran kept its leverage. The US guarantee frayed. Gulf states hedge: rearm, diversify, and talk to Tehran.
Lebanon challenges Hezbollah. Can Iraq and Yemen follow? Aoun speaks, but the world watches from a distance.
Hormuz is Iran’s tested weapon. No military reopening. Tolls and linkage diplomacy follow.
Iran reopened the strait, but the US blockade stays. Prolonged enforcement risks escalation, legal challenges, and degraded global force readiness.
Iran’s true doomsday weapon: the strait. Easy to close. Nearly impossible to reopen.
Iran imposed the Lebanon ceasefire. Israel’s Iron Wall doctrine has failed. A historic strategic defeat.
Four Iran war scenarios. The strait and China decide whether US primacy erodes or a global contest ignites.
Unresolvable nuclear demands and Hormuz control gaps make US-Iran grand bargain structurally unlikely.