Iran war cuts Afghanistan’s Chabahar trade route. Pakistan border already closed. Famine looms as aid funding collapses and migrants flee.
UAE warns it may use yuan for oil if dollar access fails. Not financial distress—political leverage after absorbing Iranian missile barrages.
Trump blinked. Iran keeps 60% of missiles and a toll-charging strait. Nuclear ambitions remain. Gulf states fracture.
Washington starves Iran’s Iraqi militias by squeezing dollar flows. No bombs. Just payroll collapse. Maliki era is dead.
Iran’s conventional navy sunk, but IRGC’s mosquito fleet and mines keep Hormuz contested. Elite fragmentation paralyzes diplomacy.
West Bank annexation accelerates under cover of Iran war. Palestinian statehood fades. Jordan fears refugees.
Carpet bombing Lebanon. Israel breaks ceasefires, kills hundreds, and shifts to total civilian terror.
Chile lifts Israel’s FIDAE ban but keeps Russia out. Palestinians decry selective justice and lost credibility.
Trump’s yo-yoing Iran policy—threats then ceasefires—undermines US credibility. Israel drives the chaos as Hormuz remains closed.
Iran drones hit Azerbaijan. Baku sends aid, not retaliation. Ethnic Azerbaijanis in Iran defuse confrontation. Caucasus stays neutral.
