Khamenei assassination backfired: revitalized Iran, global crisis erupts. Trump flails as survival strategy works.
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Iran’s industrial persistence may outlast US political patience—time, chaos become Tehran’s weapons.
Hormuz traffic plummets 19M to 3M b/d. Qatari LNG halted. Only reopening strait solves crisis.
Mojtaba Khamenei elected Supreme Leader amid war, signaling revolutionary continuity and institutional resilience.
“America First” collides with Iran war reality: US attacks absent threat, aligning with Israeli interests.
Trump’s war rests on false hopes: regime change unlikely; chaos, resentment, damaged alliances more probable.
Trump repeats Iraq error: regime change without plan. History shows it sparks civil war, instability.
Multi-front war explodes: Khamenei killed, Iran hits Gulf, Hezbollah joins, Israel invades Lebanon. Protracted showdown looms.
Iran’s middle class, forged by war trauma, rejects foreign “liberation” despite hating regime. Sanctions strategy failed.
Global economy absorbs Iran war shock modestly, but emerging importers face inflation, fiscal strain from energy prices.