Iran war triggers energy panic across Asia as governments scramble to manage fuel shortages and prevent economic collapse.
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Price of independence: Iran’s century-long struggle against Western domination. Media demonizes resistance.
Killing Ali Larijani eliminates pragmatic voice, making diplomatic off-ramp harder. Hardliners fill void.
Like Iraq, key intelligence before Iran strikes was ignored: info welcomed when licenses action, sidelined when constrains.
Should Gulf states join Iran war? Capable but risks: more strikes, US exit, Israel association. Rock and hard place.
Six strategic risks: coalition divergence, rattled alliances, rival opportunism, expanding conflict, economic shock, unpopularity.
Iran’s easy targets: Gulf states face dilemma over US bases—Oman pushes diplomacy, UAE hostile, Saudi middle.
Seizing Iran’s Kharg Island would be suicide mission—troops trapped, evacuation impossible, mission creep to mainland.
How Trump extricates from Iran quagmire: declare victory, negotiate exit. Least-bad option.
US must complete mission in Iran: Gulf officials want Iran neutered, fear US domestic politics force early exit.