Oil revenues double. US munitions deplete. Russia’s great-power image suffers. Innovation lags. Putin still trusts Trump on Ukraine.
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Killing leaders fails without politics. Never drink your neighbor’s whole milkshake. The weak have more power than you think.
Navy decommissioned minesweepers. Drones drain interceptors. Autonomy gap prevents sea control. Iran operates selective blockade.
Trump claims victory but can’t end the war. Iran demands Hormuz control and reparations. Both sides think they are winning.
Iran wages attrition through exhaustion and pain. Air power is rarely decisive. US goals risk mission creep. Compromise is necessary.
Israel disrupted a nuclear deal last year. Netanyahu fears any deal short of regime change. Trump must say no to sustain peace.
Gulf water and energy facilities are hit. Europe was not consulted. Mojtaba Khamenei is worse than his father. America is less safe.
Past-tense denials preserve diplomatic room. Iran links any deal to Lebanon and Hezbollah. Pakistan provides political cover for indirect talks.
ISIS views the war as divinely sanctioned. Two US attacks since conflict began. Prison breaks and border conflicts enable territorial gains.
The KDP demands power based on elections; the PUK insists on historical balance. Without Kurdish consensus, Baghdad cannot form a government.
