Khamenei stacked Assembly with hardliners; successors Arafi or Mojtaba ensure continuity of repression and confrontation.

Hezbollah attacks Israel to slow US campaign, exploit anti-war sentiment, and ensure Iranian regime survival.

Iran’s cheap drones force expensive Western responses, depleting stocks and reversing cost ratios in war economy.

History warns: regime change without plan creates chaos. Trump’s murky Iran war risks repeating catastrophic errors.

Gulf desalination plants, supplying most drinking water, face potential catastrophic attacks as Iran war escalates.

Syrian troops mass on Lebanon border, sparking fears of new front against Hezbollah under US pressure.

Conflict reflects struggle over regional order; stability without justice perpetuates cycles of resentment and confrontation.

Trump can’t select Iran’s leader. Post-Khamenei choice: nation vs cause. US levers: economy, reconciliation, security.

Kurdish offensive risks rallying Persian nationalism, fragmenting opposition, and triggering regional blowback without lasting US commitment.

Iran’s attrition war exploits economic costs after Khamenei’s death erased red lines; West has watch, Tehran time.