Hezbollah’s elite Radwan Force has been decimated; its financial lifeline is severed, and salaries went unpaid.

Trump urges Iranians to rise up, promising “your only chance.” History warns otherwise: Hungary 1956, Iraq 1991.

Decapitation will not solve the Iran problem; leaders are products of systems, not solitary obstacles.

Trump’s Iran campaign is repeating the mistakes of Iraq: no Phase IV plan, no coalition, no domestic support.

Iran won’t Balkanize; ethnic militias lack the manpower, unity, and backing to secede.

The U.S. is at war without clear aims; a weaker Iran could be worse, and history warns of messy outcomes.

NATO’s first Middle East office in Jordan signals Western resolve, but capacity is limited.

Iraq and Lebanon are caught in the crossfire; Maliki defies U.S. warnings, and Israel targets Hezbollah.

U.S.-Israel strikes decapitated Iran’s leadership, but regime change from the air alone is a fantasy.

The STC has dissolved itself after its leader’s failed gambit, but unity is not yet won.