Saudi Arabia is hosting a South Yemen dialogue after secessionist forces briefly seized key governorates; deep divisions complicate any settlement.

Arab states, once neutral on Ukraine, are increasingly favoring Moscow, disillusioned by Western double standards over Gaza.

International momentum for Hezbollah’s disarmament is unprecedented; a historic opportunity to reshape Lebanon is now.

An air-only regime-change campaign is untested and doubtful; can bombs alone unseat a regime? The Gulf will soon test this.

Trump and Iran are playing a game of chicken; neither wants war, but each believes the other will blink.

Trump is being dragged into a war with Iran, much like Putin was into Ukraine: emboldened by a perceived victory and ignoring military warnings.

Two Iran-aligned Iraqi factions are openly recruiting for war, alarming the Iraqi government; the factions “listen to no one.”

Gulf air defenses are layered, but their resilience against a large-scale Iranian missile attack is untested and vulnerable to saturation.

Despite 50 years of U.S. sanctions, Iran has achieved 90% literacy, indigenous missiles, and independent satellite launch capability.

Trump’s war on Iran will fail because its demands are designed for rejection; airstrikes cannot erase knowledge or end missile programs.