Neutrality may not save Turkey from a stronger Israel, a hardened Iran, and a shattered Kurdish peace.
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Geography is not a technical problem to be solved by force; Trump must choose diplomacy over a “bloody disaster” in the world’s most vital energy artery.
The U.S.-Israel war on Iran has no winners; a quick end is unlikely and wider escalation looms.
Turkey’s regional ambitions outpace its economic strength and institutional capacity, leaving Erdogan’s neo-Ottoman vision fragile and contested.