Obama’s Iran nuclear deal worked; Trump tore it up. Now war’s $16.5B cost, Hormuz closed.
Pakistan walks tightrope: Saudi pact, US ties, domestic outrage. Must stop fence-sitting before pushed over edge.
When diplomacy nears threshold: twice war came while talks progressed. Ceasefire won’t restore old order.
Operation Epic Fury cost estimates: $5.6B first 100 hours, $30B by three weeks. Expensive but significant.
The Kent warning: counterterrorism chief resigns, says Iran no threat, war driven by Israel lobby.
The oil logic behind Trump’s war: Kharg Island strike spared infrastructure—keep oil moving.
US must complete mission in Iran: Gulf officials want Iran neutered, fear US domestic politics force early exit.
The wars after the war: Israel and Iran may keep fighting—cyber, sabotage, terrorism. US dilemma.
Trump’s formidable arsenal cannot summon insurrection in Iran or force ships through Hormuz,illuminating chinks in US armour and strategic myopia in Washington.
Why Gulf holds fire: avoiding broader war, limited effectiveness, prohibitive economic costs. Caution prevails.
