IMF lags on Iran war economic fallout: needs real-time foresight, integrated analysis. WEO and GFSR gaps.
Browsing: Fragility
Authoritarian regimes are not as strong as they appear; stability without institutions is a temporary postponement, not true power.
North Africa faces relative security but underlying fragility, with a deepening security vortex linking Libya, the Sahel, and Sudan.
Syrian tribes have shifted loyalties opportunistically—from ISIS to the SDF and now toward Damascus—exposing the fragility of alliance-building.
Iraq’s apparent calm before elections masks enduring fragility; real stability depends on codifying rules for oil, budgets, and militias afterward.
The arrangement, involving swapped fuel and unpaid debt, bypassed institutional oversight, sustaining both governments without reform. This pattern of personalized, elite-driven cooperation mirrors their sectarian power-sharing systems and deepens mutual vulnerability.