Pressure on Hezbollah through military force alone guarantees the group’s political survival and ensures no Lebanese institution remains to inherit lost ground.
Browsing: Pressure
Israel’s pressure is reshaping Washington’s Iran calculus, forcing presidents to negotiate under a veto they cannot publicly admit exists.
Can US-Israel war of choice on Iran be stopped? Pressure from Russia, China, Gulf, Europe needed. Time short.
Will Houthis close Bab al-Mandab? 6.2M bpd at risk. Combined with Hormuz, crippling pressure equation.
Iran faces a decisive turning point: internal collapse converges with external pressure, and its great power allies have proved hollow.
Muscat talks reopened diplomacy but achieved no breakthrough, leaving a narrow window before the risk of escalation returns.
With Iran’s regime cornered by protests, Hezbollah fears its survival is at stake. Beirut has stalled disarmament, but U.S. pressure can compel the Lebanese Army to move north of the Litani River now, before the narrow window of opportunity closes.
U.S. strikes would risk escalation without toppling Iran’s entrenched regime. Washington should instead intensify non-kinetic pressure: targeting IRGC systems, seizing oil shipments, isolating Tehran diplomatically, and investing in opposition capacity to foster a durable democratic transition.