Oil above $110. Global South bears the cost. Trust in US security guarantees is eroding. International norms are crumbling.
Global crude prices lift CPO exports but raise domestic cooking oil costs. Biodiesel mandates compete with food security. Households bear the burden.
Black Cube operatives met with Slovenian opposition. Wiretapping and leaks aimed to oust a government that banned Netanyahu. EU silence is telling.
Royal Navy has no ships. NATO commitments unmet. US is aggressor, not victim. Sending a commercial vessel is reckless.
83% of Iranian strikes hit GCC. UAE suffers most. Gulf states resist joining war but US bases are liabilities.
Israel’s war consumes munitions at an unsustainable rate. US resupply prevents collapse. Alliance is existential, not optional.
Europe defends Gulf oil but not Israel. Neutrality in this war is collusion. Western spine has collapsed.
Hezbollah fights for survival. Lebanon bans its military activity. Israel should avoid prolonged occupation while pursuing diplomacy.
Air campaigns weaken capabilities but not resolve. Regime change is necessary for durable peace. Clausewitz: will is dominant variable.
China fears US unpredictability, not weakness. Stability is the precondition for Chinese power. Volatility threatens Beijing’s core interests.
