Browsing: Geopolitics

The 2025 NSS marks a fundamental departure from post-WWII American leadership, embracing a multipolar order that risks fragmenting the transatlantic community. As Washington refocuses on the Western Hemisphere and China, Europe must urgently transform the EU into a credible military power to avoid strategic irrelevance.

The Mar-a-Lago summit confirmed that Trump and Netanyahu are in strategic lockstep, moving toward a technocratic Gaza government and a 2026 deadline for Hamas’s disarmament. Despite minor disagreements over Syria, the partnership remains a “force multiplier” for reshaping Middle Eastern spheres of influence

Simmering tensions between Riyadh and Abu Dhabi have exploded into an open rivalry. Following the dissolution of the UAE-backed STC in Yemen, the two Gulf powers are now competing for influence across the Horn of Africa and the global AI landscape through competing proxy strategies.

The assassination of Haitham Ali Tabatabai marks a strategic turning point for Hezbollah. Struggling with intelligence breaches and Israeli air dominance, the party must now navigate domestic pressure for disarmament and the threat of state-led negotiations that could permanently alter Lebanon’s political landscape.

Saudi Arabia and the UAE share economic ambitions and security concerns, yet rivalry over Yemen, personal dynamics between leaders, and competing regional strategies have fueled tensions. Resolving the dispute will fall to the Gulf states themselves, as outside mediation can only support, not substitute, their long-term cooperation.