The regional drive to disarm non-state actors has sparked a fierce sovereignty debate in Iraq. As Lebanon’s military secures its borders, Iraqi officials struggle to balance state-building goals against powerful militias that view their arsenals as non-negotiable shields against foreign occupation.
Browsing: Geopolitics
Trump’s pursuit of Greenland as “real estate legacy” has shattered the norm of territorial integrity within NATO. While military threats eased at Davos, the crisis forces Europe to abandon asymmetric reliance on Washington and finally activate its own strategic and economic autonomy.
Brookings experts warn that ousting Maduro is merely the start of a high-friction era. From potential NATO fractures over Greenland threats to emboldening Russia and China, the operation’s legal ambiguity and lack of a “day after” plan risk global instability and long-term debt crises.
Iraq must balance its hard-earned stability against renewed ISIS threats and Iranian pressure. As Washington considers its 2026 withdrawal timeline, Baghdad seeks a transition to a bilateral security framework that preserves sovereignty, strengthens national institutions, and reduces economic dependence on Tehran’s energy exports.
While Tartus and Khmeimim remain active, Russia’s dispersed airbase network in Libya, including Maaten al-Sarra, is now more critical for power projection. These sites facilitate Africa Corps deployments and arms flows, complicating U.S.-led efforts to unify Libya and stabilize the Sahel region.
By formalizing ties with Hargeisa, Israel gains a critical partner near the Bab el-Mandeb chokepoint. While the move offers Netanyahu a diplomatic victory, it risks regional fragmentation, requiring delicate coordination with Washington and the UAE to transform symbolic recognition into a durable security architecture
The capture of Nicolás Maduro in early 2026 severs Iran’s primary foothold in Latin America, neutralizing a decade-long sanctuary for Hezbollah and the IRGC. This “law-enforcement” operation signals Washington’s renewed willingness to target sanctioned leaders and dismantle the illicit financial networks funding Tehran’s global proxies. (45 words)
Tunisia is signaling a turn toward Iran’s “Axis of Resistance” to bolster its anti-Western stance and cement its dependence on Algeria. Proposed direct flights and potential plans to host exiled Hamas leaders underscore a pivot that threatens to destabilize U.S. and NATO Mediterranean security interests.
India’s Gulf clout is evolving from diaspora-driven influence to a strategic defense and tech partnership. Despite the Saudi-Pakistan defense pact, India’s “Shared Strategic Autonomy” with the UAE—bolstered by a $200 billion trade target—positions it as a vital stabilizer against emerging China-backed axes.
The 2025 NSS marks a fundamental departure from post-WWII American leadership, embracing a multipolar order that risks fragmenting the transatlantic community. As Washington refocuses on the Western Hemisphere and China, Europe must urgently transform the EU into a credible military power to avoid strategic irrelevance.