Trump’s Iran coalition mistake: built alliance after strikes. WWI, Gulf War lessons: coalitions before hostilities.
Pakistan’s strategic dilemma: geography forces balancing act. Strategy of controlled distance faces narrowing room.
Killing Ali Larijani eliminates pragmatic voice, making diplomatic off-ramp harder. Hardliners fill void.
US policy toward Lebanon badly broken: Washington prizes Israeli security over Lebanese stability. Cycle of violence.
US-Israel strategy failing: incompatible aims, no victory definition. Iran only needs to survive to prevail.
Like Iraq, key intelligence before Iran strikes was ignored: info welcomed when licenses action, sidelined when constrains.
Why Hormuz disruption matters: 20% oil, LNG halted; US escorts vulnerable, reserves insufficient. No quick fix.
Europe should help in Gulf for its own interests: oil prices hurt, Russia gains. Engage constructively.
Should Gulf states join Iran war? Capable but risks: more strikes, US exit, Israel association. Rock and hard place.
How Iran war will accelerate nuclear program: non-nuclear attacked, nuclear protected. War may produce outcome it meant to prevent.