Al-Sharaa’s Washington visit marks a historic shift: Syria now aligns with the U.S., not using Israel as a regime protector.
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The U.S. plans to complete its military withdrawal from Iraq by September 2026, with NATO advisers likely leaving at the same time.
The Assad regime collapsed because it was brittle—a hollowed-out state propped up by dwindling foreign support and criminal networks.
Damascus is engaging the Kurdish National Council for the first time, a historic shift addressing long-standing Kurdish grievances.
Al-Sharaa’s pragmatic leadership contrasts with Assad’s failures, raising questions for Iran and Hezbollah about their own regional ambitions.
Syria’s ceasefire with the SDF ends Kurdish control of the northeast; stability now hinges on inclusive governance and disciplined security forces.
Damascus has shifted the SDF question from negotiation to integration, combining military pressure with political inclusion and a decree on Kurdish rights.
The transfer of ISIS prisoners from Syria to Iraq may relocate—not resolve—the threat, reflecting geopolitical rivalries and legal gaps.
Turkey shows no sign of withdrawing troops from Syria or Iraq, seeking lasting leverage over Kurdish dynamics and regional influence.
Lebanon’s history is scarred by countless unresolved political assassinations, reflecting a state unable to investigate or punish.