Browsing: Geopolitics

While Tartus and Khmeimim remain active, Russia’s dispersed airbase network in Libya, including Maaten al-Sarra, is now more critical for power projection. These sites facilitate Africa Corps deployments and arms flows, complicating U.S.-led efforts to unify Libya and stabilize the Sahel region.

By formalizing ties with Hargeisa, Israel gains a critical partner near the Bab el-Mandeb chokepoint. While the move offers Netanyahu a diplomatic victory, it risks regional fragmentation, requiring delicate coordination with Washington and the UAE to transform symbolic recognition into a durable security architecture

Tunisia is signaling a turn toward Iran’s “Axis of Resistance” to bolster its anti-Western stance and cement its dependence on Algeria. Proposed direct flights and potential plans to host exiled Hamas leaders underscore a pivot that threatens to destabilize U.S. and NATO Mediterranean security interests.

India’s Gulf clout is evolving from diaspora-driven influence to a strategic defense and tech partnership. Despite the Saudi-Pakistan defense pact, India’s “Shared Strategic Autonomy” with the UAE—bolstered by a $200 billion trade target—positions it as a vital stabilizer against emerging China-backed axes.

The 2025 NSS marks a fundamental departure from post-WWII American leadership, embracing a multipolar order that risks fragmenting the transatlantic community. As Washington refocuses on the Western Hemisphere and China, Europe must urgently transform the EU into a credible military power to avoid strategic irrelevance.

The Mar-a-Lago summit confirmed that Trump and Netanyahu are in strategic lockstep, moving toward a technocratic Gaza government and a 2026 deadline for Hamas’s disarmament. Despite minor disagreements over Syria, the partnership remains a “force multiplier” for reshaping Middle Eastern spheres of influence

Simmering tensions between Riyadh and Abu Dhabi have exploded into an open rivalry. Following the dissolution of the UAE-backed STC in Yemen, the two Gulf powers are now competing for influence across the Horn of Africa and the global AI landscape through competing proxy strategies.