Hezbollah’s war triggers displacement, outrage, government ban. Shia support tested. Survival uncertain.
Browsing: Survival
Hezbollah’s gambit: existential war, Shiite base holds, Amal rift exaggerated. US wise to stay out.
Houthis stay out: local priorities, devastated economy, fear of decapitation outweigh loyalty to Iran.
Houthis prioritize survival over loyalty, fearing costly retaliation and Saudi-backed offensive if Iran implodes.
Iran’s military-bonyad complex ensures continuity beyond Khamenei, exporting costs and converting endurance into leverage.
Hezbollah attacks Israel to slow US campaign, exploit anti-war sentiment, and ensure Iranian regime survival.
Iran’s protests are more frequent and widespread than ever; the regime may win this battle, but it is losing the war with its people.
Trump and Iran are playing a game of chicken; neither wants war, but each believes the other will blink.
Trump’s push for war with Iran is driven not by strategy, but by political survival—a desperate attempt to silence critics.
Russia has pivoted from patron of Assad to partner of Syria’s new government, positioning itself to thrive.