Toward a theory of victory: focus on IRGC as center of gravity. Need political warfare, defection pathways.
Tuesday, June 2, 2026
Toward a theory of victory: focus on IRGC as center of gravity. Need political warfare, defection pathways.
Middle East’s “1919 moment”: victorious alliance must manage differences to avoid post-WWI unraveling.
Israel freed hostages and holds buffer zones, but Hamas survives, governs half of Gaza, and gained diplomatic stature—making victory ambiguous.