Hormuz has become Iran’s strongest bargaining chip, testing U.S. resolve more than its naval power.
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Iran shifts to hybrid threats as U.S. cyber defenses fray. Russia profits. Gulf states consolidate with Washington.
Intelligence penetration and escalation fears, not principle, explain Iran’s surprising wartime terrorism abstention.
The temporary U.S.-Iran ceasefire pauses large-scale hostilities but leaves critical nuclear, regional, and maritime security issues fundamentally unresolved.
“Iran’s strategy of shifting the conflict’s center of gravity outward is achieving meaningful success.”
Israel exploits Hezbollah’s weakened state to degrade its capabilities through sustained military pressure while deterring future cross-border attacks.
The wars after the war: Israel and Iran may keep fighting—cyber, sabotage, terrorism. US dilemma.
