China ships Iran missile fuel chemicals and drone parts as civilian goods. Tariffs on “weapons” miss the real supply chain.
Browsing: Geopolitics
Russia and China exploit Iran war to undermine US power, study US tactics, and erode alliances. A quagmire benefits both.
Iran war hijacks Trump-Xi agenda. Shared economic fears may force superpower compromise, despite friction over alleged Chinese arms support to Tehran.
Gulf states endured Iranian retaliation for a US-led system they could not openly acknowledge. The pretense of ambiguity has become its principal weakness.
No outcome of the Iran war preserves Gulf primacy; every scenario leaves them more vulnerable and strategically diminished.
Cairo’s neutrality is driven by economic crisis and the need to avoid a war it cannot afford to fight.
Gulf states see extended war with Iran as a destabilizing threat to the economic reliability and regional stability that built their modern success.
Trump’s religious rhetoric and clashes with the Vatican are driving a major Catholic break from his war policy.
Gulf AI infrastructure and energy dominance outlast Iran’s proxy networks as Tehran’s instability dividend evaporates in the 12 Day War’s aftermath.
Europe needs US on Ukraine; US needs Europe on Iran. A grand bargain is possible.