Understanding coercive de-escalation: how a ceasefire can become an offensive system that traps adversaries in a cycle of permanent pressure.
Browsing: Deterrence
After two wars, the Iran nuclear program is at a fatal crossroads. Military strikes destroyed facilities but may have hardened Tehran’s resolve to quietly rebuild.
Exploring the shift in Western Alliance China Policy as leaders visit Beijing. Learn how a coordinated Western Alliance China Policy can counter coercion.
Iran security partnership could replace expensive Gulf alliances. A long-term deal reduces US burdens and rebalances Middle East strategy against China.
Iran setback doesn’t end Israel’s nuclear risk. Egypt, Turkey, Saudi Arabia loom. Time to end nuclear ambiguity, experts warn.
Iran’s strikes reveal Gulf states are targets regardless of U.S. bases, challenging the future of their American security partnership.
No victor in Iran war. US credibility frays. Gulf hedges. China waits to gain.
Hormuz is Iran’s tested weapon. No military reopening. Tolls and linkage diplomacy follow.
Iran’s true doomsday weapon: the strait. Easy to close. Nearly impossible to reopen.
Tactical success against Iran’s navy contrasts with a strategic wake-up call regarding the vulnerability of global energy chokepoints and interdependence.