U.S.-Iran ceasefire expires amid threats. Four scenarios: interim deal, extension, fragile pause, or regional war.
Browsing: Analysis
Israel’s wars no longer yield strategic victory, revealing vulnerabilities Palestinians and their allies can increasingly exploit.
Both Washington and Tehran insist they’re winning, but shifting facts and rising risks suggest neither narrative reflects the war’s unstable reality.
U.S.-backed Israeli tactics in Lebanon repeat 1982’s errors, risking a stronger Hezbollah and a fractured state.
Americans back global leadership—but only when it’s disciplined, predictable, and clearly tied to domestic prosperity.
Perceptions of victory—not battlefield results—are driving U.S. and Iranian behavior, reshaping political risks and future escalation dynamics.
A U.S. ship seizure threatens to derail fragile talks and escalate maritime confrontation with Iran.
Airstrikes failed, and a sweeping U.S. blockade risks global blowback without breaking Iran’s resilience.
Israel’s strategic debate shifts toward regime change in Iran as the only durable answer to nuclear and regional threats.
Pakistan hosts US-Iran talks but lacks mediator status. Proximity is a strength, not neutrality.