The Quad’s Sudan peace roadmap is faltering amid army rejection, RSF offensives, and persistent divisions among its four signatories.
Browsing: MENA
Saif al-Islam’s killing removes a unifying Green figure and potential political threat, consolidating Libya’s coercive power consolidation.
Tunisia’s revolutionary conditions have returned, but its once-supportive military, civil society, and political class have not.
Saudi Arabia counters UAE-Israel influence in the Red Sea, forming new alliances and reshaping regional dynamics, which Europe must monitor.
Arab states warn they may downgrade peace with Israel over its Gaza war and West Bank annexation plans, stressing explicit red lines.
A Saudi-UAE media and proxy war signals a deep strategic rupture, with Riyadh framing Abu Dhabi as fragmenting Arab states for Israeli gain.
Normalization is receding as Saudi Arabia insists on a Palestinian statehood pathway and Israel’s government focuses on security and West Bank control.
A new airstrip on Zuqar Island provides surveillance and interdiction capabilities against Houthi smuggling routes. The UAE-backed National Resistance Forces use such bases to project power and intercept Iranian weapons, complicating Tehran’s support network for the Houthis.
Al-Maliki’s candidacy reflects Iran’s need for a strong, reliable partner in Baghdad to manage its security and economic interests. Despite internal pressures, Tehran retains deep institutional influence in Iraq, demonstrating that the country’s stability remains precariously tied to external rivalries.
The move reduces ideological leverage in Muslim-majority countries while opening doors to Western and Asian economic ties. Riyadh must balance this strategic realignment to avoid creating a vacuum filled by rivals or radicalized former beneficiaries.