“The Guardianship of the Jurist is closer to the Islamic caliphate model that the Muslim Brotherhood seeks.”
Browsing: Sakina Abdallah
Gulf states avoid Hormuz military coalition despite economic dependence, fearing Iranian escalation and preferring diplomatic condemnation over direct security involvement.
Gulf states navigate complex strategy of defensive deterrence and diplomatic mediation while avoiding direct war involvement despite Iranian attacks.
Why Gulf holds fire: avoiding broader war, limited effectiveness, prohibitive economic costs. Caution prevails.
‘Gulf NATO’ ambition meets reality: shared threats, resources, but political rivalries hinder integration.
Will Houthis close Bab al-Mandab? 6.2M bpd at risk. Combined with Hormuz, crippling pressure equation.
Gulf economies face fragility: force majeure declared, 6.7M bpd cut. $5T reserves buffer vulnerabilities.
Gulf desalination plants, supplying most drinking water, face potential catastrophic attacks as Iran war escalates.
Gulf states have intercepted over 1,700 Iranian missiles—but restraint is wearing thin.
Gulf air defenses are layered, but their resilience against a large-scale Iranian missile attack is untested and vulnerable to saturation.