Markets see a temporary shock. Energy infrastructure damage and supply chaos will last months. A reckoning is coming.
Browsing: Iran
Iran now targets the entire Gulf, not just Israel and the US. Neutral states become adversaries. Regional coalition against Tehran accelerates.
US blockade came too late. Before the war, it could have worked. After Iran adapted, it became a crisis-widening tool.
Iran’s Hormuz regulation has legal grounding. US-Israeli war is clearly unlawful. Selective outrage reveals international law’s weaponization.
Iran retains 70% of its ballistic missiles. Underground cities survived. US failed to deliver a death blow to the program.
Trump extends ceasefire without Iranian concessions. US coercion fails. Tehran holds Hormuz. Strategic defeat, not tactical pause.
US brokers Lebanon-Israel breakthrough: “not at war.” But Hezbollah’s arsenal and Israel’s buffer zone threaten the 10-day truce.
US-Israel degraded Iran’s arsenal but failed to force capitulation. Tehran retains strike capacity and leverage. Strategic outcome unclear.
US strikes destroy Iran’s arsenal, exposing China’s empty security guarantees. Xi’s Gulf influence craters. Trump holds the card.
Iraq’s last source of legitimacy is a reclusive cleric. But even Sistani’s fatwa cannot stop Iran-backed militias.